Análisis Mantova vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1961 |
MAN
5 - 1
REG
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
SSS
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1961 |
MES
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |