Análisis Mantova vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1963 |
SPA
5 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1963 |
FIO
0 - 1
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 1
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1963 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 1963 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1963 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1963 |
MES
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |