Análisis Mantova vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAN
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 1
BOL
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1964 |
MES
1 - 2
ROM
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 nov. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 nov. 1964 |
MES
0 - 1
TOR
34%
28%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1964 |
MES
0 - 0
CAG
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |