Análisis AC Monza vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
ASS
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1970 |
USF
1 - 0
ASS
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1970 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1970 |
TAR
1 - 1
CES
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1970 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
VAR
35%
33%
32%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |