Análisis AC Monza vs Pavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-30%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 0
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
REG
1 - 2
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 3
SOR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAV
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 1
PAV
63%
24%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 2
PAV
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 1
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |