Análisis AC Monza vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 2
FAN
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1953 |
MES
2 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 1953 |
VIC
2 - 2
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1953 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |