Análisis AC Monza vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 1956 |
USA
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 1
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |