Análisis AC Monza vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
USA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1961 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 1961 |
USA
3 - 2
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1961 |
MES
2 - 0
NAP
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |