Análisis AC Monza vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
USF
44%
28%
27%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1968 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
38%
32%
30%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
44%
30%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1968 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
38%
32%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |