Análisis Pavia vs Mantova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2015 |
USA
3 - 1
PAV
31%
27%
41%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
BV5
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
PAV
16%
26%
59%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PAV
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
FER
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 2015 |
BV5
0 - 1
MAN
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
GER
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
SPA
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |