Análisis Pavia vs SPAL
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 2
PAV
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
TAR
18%
30%
52%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
SOR
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2012 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
SPA
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 0
TAR
29%
31%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |