Análisis Prato vs Pavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 3
ARZ
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
ACP
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 3
ARZ
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 jun. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -3 |
| 05 jun. 1955 |
USA
2 - 0
PAV
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |