Análisis Acassuso vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+48%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 4
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
COL
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 1
ALM
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
ITA
33%
29%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
STM
1 - 1
MER
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
BRO
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
MER
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |