Análisis Acassuso vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.5%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
14%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+48%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
COM
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
ACA
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
STM
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 0
ACA
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 2
TAL
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2009 |
STM
0 - 0
MOR
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRO
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
MOR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |