Análisis Acassuso vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
AND
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
ACA
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
DEF
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
TEM
3 - 0
ACA
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 4
AND
47%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
EST
3 - 0
MOR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
BRO
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 3
ARM
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |