Análisis CD Acero vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 1996 |
ELD
4 - 1
ACE
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1996 |
ACE
0 - 0
PIN
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1996 |
NOV
4 - 0
ACE
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 1996 |
ACE
1 - 1
ALM
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACE
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -2 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 1996 |
PEG
3 - 2
SDS
20%
29%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1996 |
GIM
3 - 1
PEG
70%
19%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 1996 |
PEG
1 - 1
BUR
26%
28%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1996 |
CRE
1 - 1
PEG
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1996 |
PEG
0 - 0
ONT
6%
19%
75%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +2 |