Análisis CD Acero vs San Mateo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2007 |
ACE
0 - 3
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
ACE
3 - 1
CFS
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
ACE
2 - 0
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
ACE
0 - 0
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
ACE
1 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2007 |
VIN
2 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
BOR
17%
21%
62%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
14%
21%
65%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
CFS
5 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 5
VAL
14%
20%
65%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |