Análisis Alcorcón vs Arganda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+84%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1985 |
PEG
1 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDB
53%
25%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
FUE
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
SEG
2 - 1
ALC
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 3
AZU
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 1
FUE
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
SEG
6 - 1
ARG
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 3
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 0
ARG
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 1985 |
ARG
0 - 3
DAI
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |