Análisis Alcorcón vs FC Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALC
35%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
HUE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
XER
2 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
UDL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HER
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
75%
18%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
REC
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |