Análisis Alcorcón vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1977 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALC
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 2
CDB
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALC
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 1977 |
PUE
5 - 1
ALC
65%
17%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 1
ZAM
82%
12%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1977 |
GUA
1 - 2
COL
59%
27%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1977 |
CIE
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1977 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
56%
27%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1977 |
GUA
3 - 0
GAN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |