Análisis Alcorcón vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
45%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 0
ALC
27%
30%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
FCB
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2011 |
NUM
4 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAB
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 2
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HER
20%
29%
52%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
DEP
4 - 0
GUA
73%
19%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |