Análisis Alcorcón vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 3
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
ALM
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCB
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 may. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 3
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEL
16%
25%
59%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |