Análisis Alcorcón vs CD San Fernando
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+50%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1986 |
CDB
0 - 2
ALC
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1986 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 0
AVI
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 1985 |
COL
0 - 0
ALC
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 2
MST
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1986 |
SFN
1 - 0
AZU
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1986 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1985 |
TOM
3 - 1
SFN
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 1985 |
SFN
4 - 2
VAL
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 1985 |
SFN
2 - 2
DAI
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |