Análisis Alcorcón vs CD Toledo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.81
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 1977 |
LEG
2 - 0
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
COL
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 1977 |
CAR
5 - 1
ALC
68%
18%
15%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 1
SDA
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 dic. 1977 |
RSO
6 - 0
CDT
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 80 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
CDT
0 - 2
CIE
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 dic. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 3
RSO
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 80 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDT
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |