Análisis Alcorcón vs Valdepeñas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-41%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALC
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1977 |
PUE
5 - 1
ALC
65%
17%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 1
ZAM
82%
12%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1977 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALC
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUE
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 0
CIE
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1977 |
RMA
3 - 0
CDB
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 86 | 49 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
CDB
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 7
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 85 | 47 | -1 |