Análisis Alcorcón vs Valdepeñas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1982 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1982 |
ALC
4 - 1
MST
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 1982 |
COL
2 - 1
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1982 |
DAI
0 - 0
ALC
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1982 |
CDB
3 - 2
LEG
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1982 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDB
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 feb. 1982 |
CDB
1 - 3
PEG
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 1982 |
CIE
0 - 0
CDB
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1982 |
CDB
1 - 0
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |