Segunda División Jor. 28

Análisis Alcorcón vs Hércules

Alcorcón Hércules
75 ELO 79
0.6% Tilt -14%
1448º Ranking ELO general 2273º
53º Ranking ELO país 73º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.6%
Alcorcón
28%
Empate
30.4%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.27
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.4%
Win probability
Hércules
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Alcorcón
-7%
-6%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

Alcorcón
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 mar. 2012
DEP
RC Deportivo
2 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
65%
22%
14%
75 84 9 0
25 feb. 2012
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 0
FC Cartagena
CAR
68%
20%
11%
75 65 10 0
18 feb. 2012
VIL
Villarreal B
0 - 3
Alcorcón
ALC
35%
28%
36%
74 65 9 +1
11 feb. 2012
ALC
Alcorcón
2 - 0
Huesca
HUE
64%
22%
14%
74 66 8 0
04 feb. 2012
XER
Xerez CD
2 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
50%
26%
24%
74 71 3 0

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 mar. 2012
HER
Hércules
1 - 0
CE Sabadell
SAB
80%
14%
6%
79 61 18 0
24 feb. 2012
FCB
Barça Atlètic
0 - 1
Hércules
HER
49%
25%
25%
78 74 4 +1
19 feb. 2012
REC
Recreativo
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
37%
30%
34%
79 75 4 -1
12 feb. 2012
HER
Hércules
1 - 4
RC Deportivo
DEP
44%
27%
29%
79 84 5 0
05 feb. 2012
CAR
FC Cartagena
0 - 3
Hércules
HER
29%
29%
42%
79 66 13 0