Análisis Alcorcón vs Málaga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
30.5%
Empate
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
42.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
RAC
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2019 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALM
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 3
ALC
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2019 |
MAL
0 - 0
FUE
64%
23%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
MAL
21%
29%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 1
OVI
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 2
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAD
36%
28%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |