Análisis Alcorcón vs Mirandés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
ALC
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
SAB
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 0
MIR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 may. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
CCF
1 - 1
MIR
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 1
UDL
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |