Análisis Alcorcón vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
FCB
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
DEP
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ELC
2 - 2
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |