Análisis Alcorcón vs Real Ávila
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1985 |
COL
0 - 0
ALC
54%
25%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 2
MST
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1985 |
GUA
3 - 1
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 1985 |
OSA
5 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 77 | 48 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1985 |
AVI
1 - 1
AZU
59%
22%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1985 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1985 |
AVI
5 - 1
TOM
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 1985 |
VAL
0 - 0
AVI
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1985 |
AVI
1 - 0
SFN
54%
25%
21%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |