Análisis Alcorcón vs Real Murcia Imperial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALC
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
ALC
3 - 2
VEC
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
PPJ
1 - 1
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
NAV
67%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 2
AGU
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
IMP
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 0
ULP
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
ALF
0 - 3
IMP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
IMP
1 - 0
LOR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |