Análisis Alcorcón vs Real Zaragoza


76	ELO	78
-11.2%	Tilt	-0.9%
1539º	Ranking ELO general	615º
55º	Ranking ELO país	36º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria

36.3%

Alcorcón

27.3%

Empate

36.5%

Real Zaragoza

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%

27.3%

Empate

0-0

8.6%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.3%

36.5%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

+2%

-8%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alcorcón

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 may. 2014	FCB 4 - 3 ALC 51% 24% 26%	76	75	1	0
25 may. 2014	ALC 2 - 0 MIR 56% 26% 18%	76	69	7	0
17 may. 2014	HER 1 - 2 ALC 37% 27% 35%	75	69	6	+1
10 may. 2014	ALC 1 - 0 LUG 57% 26% 18%	75	68	7	0
03 may. 2014	ALC 1 - 0 SPO 34% 27% 40%	74	78	4	+1

Partidos

Real Zaragoza

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
31 may. 2014	ZAR 1 - 1 SPO 43% 27% 30%	78	78	0
25 may. 2014	MUR 1 - 1 ZAR 35% 26% 39%	78	72	6
17 may. 2014	ZAR 2 - 2 SAB 61% 24% 16%	78	68	10
11 may. 2014	CCF 1 - 2 ZAR 35% 27% 38%	78	73	5
04 may. 2014	ZAR 1 - 2 UDL 50% 26% 24%	78	74	4