Análisis Alcorcón vs RM Castilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 1
GIR
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
XER
2 - 4
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2012 |
RMC
0 - 1
ELC
44%
25%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 2
RMC
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 dic. 2012 |
RMC
4 - 0
RAC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 nov. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
RMC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 4
NUM
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |