Análisis Alcorcón vs Toscal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 1980 |
CDS
0 - 0
ALC
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1980 |
ALC
4 - 0
CIE
67%
21%
13%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 ene. 1980 |
PLA
1 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 1980 |
DBN
0 - 0
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1980 |
ALC
1 - 0
PEG
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 1980 |
TCF
3 - 2
LEG
53%
26%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1980 |
COL
2 - 0
TCF
74%
17%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1980 |
TCF
1 - 2
CDB
47%
28%
26%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 1980 |
TCF
1 - 3
SFN
48%
27%
25%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 ene. 1980 |
NUM
4 - 0
TCF
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |