Análisis Alcorcón vs Lanzarote
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-29%
-32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 0
CIU
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
LPA
0 - 2
ALC
26%
29%
46%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATB
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
LEG
0 - 6
ALC
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Partidos
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
LAN
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAN
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 1
IMP
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 0
LAN
33%
26%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 2
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |