Análisis AgD Ceuta vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 2
AGD
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 2
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 1
AGD
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 2
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jun. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
EXT
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2010 |
EXT
4 - 2
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 may. 2010 |
AVI
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |