Análisis AgD Ceuta vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 0
AGD
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 3
AGD
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
AGD
0 - 0
CDL
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
SFE
1 - 1
AGD
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
CDL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LUC
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
UBC
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |