Análisis AgD Ceuta vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 0
AGD
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2010 |
AGD
4 - 1
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 2
AGD
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 2
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2010 |
TUD
0 - 2
LUC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
CIU
0 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
LUC
6 - 0
AGU
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |