Análisis AD Mar Menor vs Bala Azul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.44
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
HOR
1 - 2
MME
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
MME
0 - 2
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
MME
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
MME
4 - 1
BAL
83%
11%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
MAZ
1 - 2
MME
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
HOR
3 - 2
BAL
81%
14%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 2
ORI
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |