Análisis AD Plus Ultra vs AD Ferroviaria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1946 |
MAN
3 - 3
PUL
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1946 |
TOM
3 - 1
PUL
44%
22%
34%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
PUL
0 - 0
CDT
67%
17%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
IMP
0 - 1
PUL
59%
19%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 1946 |
PUL
2 - 1
MED
73%
15%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1946 |
FER
1 - 2
ALB
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1946 |
MAN
4 - 1
FER
40%
22%
39%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 oct. 1946 |
FER
4 - 2
TOM
57%
19%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1946 |
CDT
2 - 0
FER
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 1946 |
FER
2 - 1
IMP
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |