Análisis AD Plus Ultra vs Cuatro Caminos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.08
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.4%
Empate
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 1954 |
MAN
1 - 4
PUL
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
MER
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1954 |
CPC
5 - 3
PUL
61%
19%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 dic. 1953 |
PUL
5 - 1
AZA
86%
9%
6%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 1953 |
CDT
2 - 5
PUL
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Cuatro Caminos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 1954 |
CUA
1 - 2
CPC
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1954 |
CUA
2 - 0
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 10 ene. 1954 |
CDT
4 - 1
CUA
91%
6%
3%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 dic. 1953 |
CUA
1 - 0
ATC
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 dic. 1953 |
ARA
3 - 0
CUA
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |