Análisis AD Plus Ultra vs Femsa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.12
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
GDE
0 - 0
PUL
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
PUL
2 - 1
UBC
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 1
PUL
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 dic. 1965 |
PUL
4 - 3
COL
80%
13%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
VIL
0 - 1
PUL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
Partidos
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
FEM
3 - 2
ARA
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
TAL
4 - 0
FEM
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
FEM
5 - 2
ALC
45%
24%
30%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
FEM
0 - 0
SEG
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1965 |
CDT
6 - 1
FEM
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |