Análisis ADESG vs Independência
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ADESG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2005 |
ADE
1 - 1
JUV
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
ADE
5 - 2
VAS
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 may. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 1
ADE
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 may. 2005 |
ADE
3 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 abr. 2005 |
IND
0 - 1
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2005 |
IND
0 - 2
RIO
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
IND
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
JUV
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 abr. 2005 |
IND
0 - 1
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |