Análisis AFC Wimbledon vs Carlisle United
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
AFC
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIV
8%
15%
76%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 1
EXE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 2014 |
OPA
0 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2015 |
CUM
0 - 1
CAM
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
CUM
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 dic. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 3
YOR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 dic. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 1
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |