Análisis Afogados vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
12.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.33
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2019 |
AFO
2 - 2
SAL
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
AFO
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
AFO
1 - 0
PET
52%
21%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
FEC
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2019 |
IMP
1 - 1
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |