Análisis Ajaccio vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
AJA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIO
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2000 |
ESW
3 - 1
AJA
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 1
TFC
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2000 |
CSL
1 - 1
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2000 |
NÎM
0 - 0
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2000 |
GUI
3 - 1
CAE
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2000 |
CAE
4 - 1
AMI
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |