Análisis Ajaccio vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 2
ANG
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2010 |
STR
2 - 0
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2010 |
GIR
5 - 1
AJA
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 0
SED
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
ARL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 0
CAE
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2010 |
MET
1 - 3
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2010 |
DIJ
1 - 1
CAE
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |