Análisis Ajaccio vs Lens
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 2
AUX
25%
29%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
AJA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 nov. 2003 |
MPL
3 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 0
LEN
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 3
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 2
LEN
27%
29%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 1
GUI
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |