Análisis Ajaccio vs Metz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.4%
Empate
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
37.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
GUI
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
TFC
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2004 |
MET
3 - 1
GIR
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
REN
0 - 0
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
MET
1 - 2
LYO
21%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |